Data Skrive
The No. 17 St. John’s Red Storm (19-5, 12-1 Big East) hope to build on a six-game road win streak when they visit the Providence Friars (11-14, 4-10 Big East) on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET.
The Red Storm are a 7.5-point favorite against the Friars when the Red Storm and the Friars meet. The game’s over/under is set at 167.5.
Keep scrolling to get all you need to know ahead of placing bets on the St. John’s-Providence clash.
St. John’s vs. Providence How to Watch & Odds
- When: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, Rhode Island
- TV: TNT
- Live Box Score: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Storm | -7.5 | -117 | -112 | 167.5 | -116 | -110 | -422 | +318 |
This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.
St. John’s vs. Providence Prediction
- Pick ATS: Providence (+7.5)
- Pick OU: Under (167.5)
- Prediction: St. John’s 85, Providence 80
Learn more about the St. John’s Red Storm vs. the Providence Friars game on FOX Sports!
St. John’s vs. Providence Betting Insights
Betting Line Implied Predictions
- Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Red Storm 88, Friars 80.
- The Red Storm have an 80.8% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline’s implied probability.
- The Friars hold a 23.9% implied probability to come out on top.
Key Spread Facts
- St. John’s has put together a 13-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Providence has covered 13 times in 25 chances against the spread this season.
- St. John’s is 7-8 ATS this season when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
- Providence has been an underdog by 7.5 points or more five times this year, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
Key Total Facts
- In six games this season, the Red Storm and their opponent have combined for more than 167.5 points.
- Friars games have gone over 167.5 points on 14 occasions this year.
- The over/under for this game is 167.5 points, 5.2 fewer than the scoring average of the two teams combined.
Key Moneyline Facts
- St. John’s is 18-3 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 85.7%).
- Providence has entered the game as underdogs 12 times this season and won twice.
- St. John’s has gone 12-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -422 or shorter (winning 92.3%).
- Providence has a record of 1-4 when it is set as the underdog by +318 or more by sportsbooks this season.
St. John’s vs. Providence: Recent Results
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/3/2026 | Red Storm | -12.5 | 169.5 | -1020 | +651 | 77-71 PROV |
| 2/1/2025 | Red Storm | -13.5 | 144 | -1149 | +713 | 68-66 STJOHN |
| 12/20/2024 | Red Storm | -6 | 142.5 | -264 | +213 | 72-70 STJOHN |
St. John’s vs. Providence: 2025-26 Stats Comparison
| St. John’s | Providence | |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored Per Game (Rank) | 84.5 (29) | 88.2 (14) |
| Points Allowed (Rank) | 72.2 (132) | 85.6 (361) |
| Rebounds (Rank) | 11.5 (24) | 9.4 (161) |
| 3pt Made (Rank) | 7.3 (238) | 9.3 (70) |
| Assists (Rank) | 16.0 (64) | 15.1 (114) |
| Turnovers (Rank) | 10.5 (118) | 11.6 (228) |
St. John’s 2025-26 Key Players
Providence 2025-26 Key Players
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
Short Description: The No. 17 St. John’s Red Storm, riding a six-game road win streak, visit the Providence Friars as heavy 7.5-point favorites. Our St. John’s vs. Providence prediction and betting analysis breaks down the spread, over/under, and moneyline to find value.
Read Time: 2 minutes, 15 seconds
Main Article:
As the No. 17 St. John’s Red Storm (19-5, 12-1 Big East) bring a six-game road win streak into Providence for a pivotal Big East clash, savvy bettors in the U.S. are analyzing the St. John’s vs. Providence betting odds to identify smart financial plays. The Red Storm are formidable 7.5-point favorites on the college basketball betting board, reflecting their dominant conference record. However, a deeper dive into the providence friars spread coverage reveals potential value, as the Friars have covered in three of five games where they were underdogs by 7.5 or more.
Our comprehensive matchup analysis and St. John’s vs. Providence prediction project a tight final score of 85-80 in favor of the Red Storm. While the moneyline implies an 80% win probability for St. John’s, backing Providence +7.5 ATS is the sharp play. Providence has a respectable 13-12 ATS record and can exploit St. John’s 7-8 record against the spread as a favorite of this margin. Furthermore, despite both teams ranking high in scoring, we forecast the college basketball Saturday slate finish with an Under 167.5 pick. This is below the teams’ combined scoring average and aligns with the trend that St. John’s games have only exceeded this total six times this season. The Friars’ defensive struggles are well-known, but St. John’s slower pace and superior defensive ranking could limit Providence’s high-powered attack in a crucial road game.
Understanding the dynamics behind the St. John’s vs. Providence prediction is key for modern sports investors. The statistical comparison shows a critical clash: Providence scores more (88.2 PPG) but St. John’s defends far better (72.2 PPG allowed vs. 85.6). This creates the classic offense-versus-defense scenario books are pricing into the line. While St. John’s should win outright, the points on offer with Providence +7.5 ATS offer a calculated hedge against a comfortable but not dominant Red Storm victory. For bargain hunters, the Friars’ moneyline at +318 is a high-risk, high-reward speculation given their home-floor triumph (77-71) over St. John’s earlier this season.
Short Summary:
Our St. John’s vs. Providence prediction favors the home underdog with the points, projecting an 85-80 Red Storm win. The smart college basketball betting play is Providence +7.5 ATS, as they have a history of covering large spreads. We also recommend the Under 167.5 based on matchup trends and St. John’s strong defense. This analysis aims to find value for bettors navigating today’s key college basketball Saturday slate.
